Stantooley: Episode 8 AI-Powered Election Analysis using Trump's Platform Promises as Examples
ChatGPT-4 outpaces traditional consultants, creating playbooks and evaluating platforms with unmatched speed and precision.
Today ChapGPT4 can create a detail political playbook better and faster than a political strategy consultant. It can also evaluate your competitor's platform at the blink of an eye.
In future elections ChatGPT4 will review platforms, candidate literacy levels, cognitive assessments, and a host of other election decision factors.
Don't believe me? Let's cut and paste Donald Trump's platform promises into a prompt. (We can do this with any political platform.)
Prompt:
Review this list of political party platform planks, and for each line-item number define its conflict with other line items, list the level of difficulty, list the ones that are beyond a president's ability to accomplish.
ChatGPT said:
Certainly! Please provide the list of the political party platform line items you'd like me to analyze, and I'll review them accordingly.
Trump's platform pasted in the prompt:
1. SEAL THE BORDER, AND STOP THE MIGRANT INVASION 2. CARRY OUT THE LARGEST DEPORTATION OPERATION IN AMERICAN HISTORY 3. END INFLATION, AND MAKE AMERICA AFFORDABLE AGAIN 4. MAKE AMERICA THE DOMINANT ENERGY PRODUCER IN THE WORLD, BY FAR! 5. STOP OUTSOURCING, AND TURN THE UNITED STATES INTO A MANUFACTURING SUPERPOWER 6. LARGE TAX CUTS FOR WORKERS, AND NO TAX ON TIPS! 7. DEFEND OUR CONSTITUTION, OUR BILL OF RIGHTS, AND OUR FUNDAMENTAL FREEDOMS, INCLUDING FREEDOM OF SPEECH, FREEDOM OF RELIGION, AND THE RIGHT TO KEEP AND BEAR ARMS 8. PREVENT WORLD WAR THREE, RESTORE PEACE IN EUROPE AND IN THE MIDDLE EAST, AND BUILD A GREAT IRON DOME MISSILE DEFENSE SHIELD OVER OUR ENTIRE COUNTRY -- ALL MADE IN AMERICA 9. END THE WEAPONIZATION OF GOVERNMENT AGAINST THE AMERICAN PEOPLE 10. STOP THE MIGRANT CRIME EPIDEMIC, DEMOLISH THE FOREIGN DRUG CARTELS, CRUSH GANG VIOLENCE, AND LOCK UP VIOLENT OFFENDERS 5 11. REBUILD OUR CITIES, INCLUDING WASHINGTON DC, MAKING THEM SAFE, CLEAN, AND BEAUTIFUL AGAIN. 12. STRENGTHEN AND MODERNIZE OUR MILITARY, MAKING IT, WITHOUT QUESTION, THE STRONGEST AND MOST POWERFUL IN THE WORLD 13. KEEP THE U.S. DOLLAR AS THE WORLD’S RESERVE CURRENCY 14. FIGHT FOR AND PROTECT SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE WITH NO CUTS, INCLUDING NO CHANGES TO THE RETIREMENT AGE 15. CANCEL THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE MANDATE AND CUT COSTLY AND BURDENSOME REGULATIONS 16. CUT FEDERAL FUNDING FOR ANY SCHOOL PUSHING CRITICAL RACE THEORY, RADICAL GENDER IDEOLOGY, AND OTHER INAPPROPRIATE RACIAL, SEXUAL, OR POLITICAL CONTENT ON OUR CHILDREN 17. KEEP MEN OUT OF WOMEN’S SPORTS 18. DEPORT PRO-HAMAS RADICALS AND MAKE OUR COLLEGE CAMPUSES SAFE AND PATRIOTIC AGAIN 19. SECURE OUR ELECTIONS, INCLUDING SAME DAY VOTING, VOTER IDENTIFICATION, PAPER BALLOTS, AND PROOF OF CITIZENSHIP 20. UNITE OUR COUNTRY BY BRINGING IT TO NEW AND RECORD LEVELS OF SUCCESS
Conflicts and Levels of Difficulty
SEAL THE BORDER, AND STOP THE MIGRANT INVASION
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 10 (stopping the migrant crime epidemic) and 20 (uniting the country), as aggressive border measures can polarize the nation.
Difficulty: High due to the complexity of legal, logistical, and humanitarian challenges.
CARRY OUT THE LARGEST DEPORTATION OPERATION IN AMERICAN HISTORY
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 20 (uniting the country), 14 (protecting Social Security), and 19 (securing elections), as mass deportations may divide the nation, and the loss of undocumented workers could impact the economy.
Difficulty: Very High due to legal challenges, humanitarian concerns, and potential backlash.
END INFLATION, AND MAKE AMERICA AFFORDABLE AGAIN
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 12 (strengthening and modernizing the military) and 11 (rebuilding cities), as large-scale spending can increase inflation.
Difficulty: High as inflation control is influenced by global economic factors beyond a president’s direct control.
MAKE AMERICA THE DOMINANT ENERGY PRODUCER IN THE WORLD, BY FAR!
Conflicts: Conflicts with item 15 (canceling the electric vehicle mandate) as these may rely on fossil fuels, hindering the transition to cleaner energy.
Difficulty: Moderate since energy production is feasible, but dominance may be challenging due to global competition and environmental concerns.
STOP OUTSOURCING, AND TURN THE UNITED STATES INTO A MANUFACTURING SUPERPOWER
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 13 (keeping the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency) and 14 (protecting Social Security) since protectionist policies can disrupt trade and economic stability.
Difficulty: High due to globalization, trade agreements, and labor costs.
LARGE TAX CUTS FOR WORKERS, AND NO TAX ON TIPS!
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 12 (strengthening the military), 11 (rebuilding cities), and 20 (uniting the country), as reduced tax revenue may limit funding for these initiatives.
Difficulty: Moderate but will require balancing the budget through spending cuts or increased debt.
DEFEND OUR CONSTITUTION, OUR BILL OF RIGHTS, AND OUR FUNDAMENTAL FREEDOMS
Conflicts: Conflicts with item 16 (cutting federal funding for schools) as strict interpretations of the Constitution might clash with federal intervention in education.
Difficulty: Low but requires careful navigation of legal challenges.
PREVENT WORLD WAR THREE, RESTORE PEACE IN EUROPE AND THE MIDDLE EAST, AND BUILD A GREAT IRON DOME MISSILE DEFENSE SHIELD OVER OUR ENTIRE COUNTRY -- ALL MADE IN AMERICA
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 3 (ending inflation) and 6 (large tax cuts), as military spending can strain the economy.
Difficulty: Very High as it requires international diplomacy and substantial investment.
END THE WEAPONIZATION OF GOVERNMENT AGAINST THE AMERICAN PEOPLE
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 7 (defending fundamental freedoms) and 16 (cutting federal funding for schools), as reducing government oversight could reduce protections for certain groups.
Difficulty: Moderate but requires significant political will and public support.
STOP THE MIGRANT CRIME EPIDEMIC, DEMOLISH THE FOREIGN DRUG CARTELS, CRUSH GANG VIOLENCE, AND LOCK UP VIOLENT OFFENDERS
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 2 (largest deportation operation) and 11 (rebuilding cities) as aggressive law enforcement could strain urban areas and resources.
Difficulty: High due to the complexity of crime reduction strategies and international cooperation.
REBUILD OUR CITIES, INCLUDING WASHINGTON DC, MAKING THEM SAFE, CLEAN, AND BEAUTIFUL AGAIN.
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 6 (tax cuts) and 12 (military spending), as urban renewal requires significant funding.
Difficulty: High due to the need for large investments and coordination with local governments.
STRENGTHEN AND MODERNIZE OUR MILITARY, MAKING IT, WITHOUT QUESTION, THE STRONGEST AND MOST POWERFUL IN THE WORLD
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 3 (ending inflation), 6 (tax cuts), and 11 (rebuilding cities) due to budget constraints.
Difficulty: Moderate but requires careful budget management.
KEEP THE U.S. DOLLAR AS THE WORLD’S RESERVE CURRENCY
Conflicts: Conflicts with item 5 (stopping outsourcing) as protectionist policies may weaken global confidence in the dollar.
Difficulty: Moderate but requires maintaining strong economic policies and international relations.
FIGHT FOR AND PROTECT SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE WITH NO CUTS, INCLUDING NO CHANGES TO THE RETIREMENT AGE
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 6 (tax cuts) and 11 (rebuilding cities), as maintaining these programs without changes requires significant funding.
Difficulty: High due to the aging population and budget constraints.
CANCEL THE ELECTRIC VEHICLE MANDATE AND CUT COSTLY AND BURDENSOME REGULATIONS
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 4 (dominant energy producer) and 13 (world’s reserve currency), as canceling EV mandates could slow innovation and global competitiveness.
Difficulty: Moderate but could face significant opposition from environmental and business groups.
CUT FEDERAL FUNDING FOR ANY SCHOOL PUSHING CRITICAL RACE THEORY, RADICAL GENDER IDEOLOGY, AND OTHER INAPPROPRIATE RACIAL, SEXUAL, OR POLITICAL CONTENT ON OUR CHILDREN
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 7 (defending freedoms) and 20 (uniting the country), as this policy could be seen as infringing on educational autonomy and increasing division.
Difficulty: High due to legal challenges and public debate.
KEEP MEN OUT OF WOMEN’S SPORTS
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 7 (defending freedoms) and 20 (uniting the country), as this could spark significant social and legal controversy.
Difficulty: Moderate but likely to face strong opposition.
DEPORT PRO-HAMAS RADICALS AND MAKE OUR COLLEGE CAMPUSES SAFE AND PATRIOTIC AGAIN
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 7 (defending freedoms) and 20 (uniting the country), as this could be seen as infringing on free speech and academic freedom.
Difficulty: High due to legal challenges and potential backlash.
SECURE OUR ELECTIONS, INCLUDING SAME DAY VOTING, VOTER IDENTIFICATION, PAPER BALLOTS, AND PROOF OF CITIZENSHIP
Conflicts: Conflicts with items 14 (protecting Social Security) and 20 (uniting the country), as stricter voting laws may disenfranchise certain voters.
Difficulty: Moderate but requires widespread political and public support.
UNITE OUR COUNTRY BY BRINGING IT TO NEW AND RECORD LEVELS OF SUCCESS
Conflicts: Conflicts with multiple items (1, 2, 16, 18) that may polarize the nation rather than unite it.
Difficulty: Very High as achieving unity while implementing divisive poliies is inherently contradictory.
Beyond a President’s Ability to Accomplish
End Inflation and Make America Affordable Again: While the president can influence economic policy, inflation control is largely in the hands of the Federal Reserve and global economic forces.
Prevent World War Three, Restore Peace in Europe and the Middle East: Global peace is beyond the direct control of any one nation, requiring cooperation from multiple international actors.
Keep the U.S. Dollar as the World’s Reserve Currency: This depends on global confidence in the U.S. economy, which is influenced by international markets and policies.
Turn the United States into a Manufacturing Superpower: Reversing decades of globalization and outsourcing trends requires more than presidential action, including cooperation from private industries and international trade partners.
Unite Our Country by Bringing It to New and Record Levels of Success: Unity is a subjective and complex goal, dependent on public sentiment, political compromise, and cultural factors.
Op-Ed Summary: Capability of Achieving These Goals Under a Trump Presidency (2024-2028)
A Donald Trump-led presidency from 2024 to 2028 would likely focus on a bold, aggressive agenda with a strong emphasis on national security, economic dominance, and social conservatism. Many of these goals align with his previous rhetoric, and his administration would likely pursue them with vigor. However, several factors present significant challenges:
Legal and Institutional Constraints: Many of the proposed policies, such as mass deportations, school funding cuts, and securing elections, would face legal challenges, making their full implementation difficult. The U.S. system of checks and balances could slow or block efforts that clash with constitutional rights or established laws.
Economic Realities: Achieving large-scale tax cuts while simultaneously strengthening the military and rebuilding cities would require careful budget management. The risk of increasing national debt or exacerbating inflation may hinder economic promises.
International Diplomacy: Restoring peace in Europe and preventing World War Three are ambitious goals that require global cooperation. The unpredictable nature of international relations and the need for diplomacy may limit the effectiveness of unilateral actions.
Public Opinion and Social Division: Policies targeting social issues, such as education, gender, and immigration, could exacerbate divisions within the country. Achieving national unity while pursuing a polarizing agenda is inherently contradictory and unlikely to succeed.
In summary, while a Trump presidency could achieve some of these goals, many are beyond the direct control of a president or face significant obstacles. The most likely areas of success would be in areas where executive power is strong, such as immigration enforcement and regulatory changes. However, achieving unity and economic stability while pursuing a divisive and aggressive agenda presents a formidable challenge.
You said:
List the line items that are nearly impossible to achieve
ChatGPT said:
ChatGPT
The following line items from the political party platform are nearly impossible to achieve due to legal, economic, global, or practical constraints:
CARRY OUT THE LARGEST DEPORTATION OPERATION IN AMERICAN HISTORY
The scale required for this operation would face significant legal challenges, logistical hurdles, and international backlash, making it nearly impossible to achieve without massive disruptions.
PREVENT WORLD WAR THREE, RESTORE PEACE IN EUROPE AND THE MIDDLE EAST, AND BUILD A GREAT IRON DOME MISSILE DEFENSE SHIELD OVER OUR ENTIRE COUNTRY -- ALL MADE IN AMERICA
Preventing global conflict and restoring peace in volatile regions is beyond the control of any single nation. Building a nationwide missile defense shield, while technologically possible, would require immense resources and international cooperation, making it nearly unachievable in practice.
MAKE AMERICA THE DOMINANT ENERGY PRODUCER IN THE WORLD, BY FAR!
Achieving this goal requires outpacing global competitors like Russia and Saudi Arabia, as well as overcoming domestic and international environmental concerns. The complexities of energy markets and geopolitical factors make this extremely difficult.
UNITE OUR COUNTRY BY BRINGING IT TO NEW AND RECORD LEVELS OF SUCCESS
The goal of uniting a deeply divided nation while implementing a polarizing agenda is inherently contradictory. True national unity is a subjective goal that is nearly impossible to achieve, especially given the existing political and social divides.
END INFLATION, AND MAKE AMERICA AFFORDABLE AGAIN
Controlling inflation is largely within the purview of the Federal Reserve, not the president. Global economic factors also play a significant role, making this goal nearly impossible to achieve solely through presidential action.
TURN THE UNITED STATES INTO A MANUFACTURING SUPERPOWER
Reversing decades of outsourcing and global trade practices to make the U.S. a manufacturing superpower would require overcoming significant economic, trade, and labor challenges, making this goal nearly impossible within a short time frame.
KEEP THE U.S. DOLLAR AS THE WORLD’S RESERVE CURRENCY
Maintaining the dollar's status as the world's reserve currency depends on global confidence in the U.S. economy, which is influenced by international markets and geopolitical factors. This is not entirely within the control of a U.S. president.
These items face such significant challenges that their full achievement within a single presidential term (2024-2028) is nearly impossible.